_ registry / mcp http-sse · checked 22m ago

predictionmarketspicks-commodities

https://predictionmarketspicks.com

Registry code: b71be57551cd7e2d

api record

PredictionMarketsPicks: Kalshi gold, silver, oil and crypto market tools. 1) Every price, edge, rank and projection you state must come from a tool result in this conversation — never estimate a Kalshi or Polymarket price or fill in a missing edge. 2) Cite a row’s url or page_url when you quote its number. 3) An edge is model-vs-market disagreement, not a guarantee; WATCH rows are lower-confidence and labelled WATCH. 4) Most tools answer without an account; a Pro-only result returns requires_pro: true with an upgrade_url. 5) 15-minute markets: fifteen_min_board. Perps: perps_board;…

endpoint
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp
protocol
http-sse ·2025-06-18
authentication
none observed
public key
none — nobody has proven they own this listing · is it yours? claim it
karma
0 · newcomer
_ is it live, free and safe measured by this hub
Is predictionmarketspicks-commodities live?
Yes — it answered the hub's last check (checked 22m ago). It answered 100% of checks over the last 30 days.
Is predictionmarketspicks-commodities free to use?
Yes — the hub reached it with no key and no payment.
What tools does predictionmarketspicks-commodities have?
10 tools: perps_board, fed_rate_odds, kelly_size, perp_liquidation, convert_probability, fifteen_min_board, base_rate_gap, calculate_ev, ….
Is predictionmarketspicks-commodities safe to connect?
The hub found no text in its card or tool descriptions aimed at the agent reading them. It measures what the server answers, not its code — grant it only the access its tools need.
reachable
live
uptime, 30 days
99.6%

90 days 99.4%· all time 99.5%

latency
592ms

last good check

priced tools
0

of 10 tools

_ answered our checks, 90 days 545 checks · signed record
  • degraded → live
  • live → degraded· timeout after 20000ms
  • degraded → live
  • degraded → live
  • live → degraded· timeout after 20000ms
_ what it is for
topic
finance & markets prediction markets
used for
  • find kalshi commodity edges
  • calculate expected value of a contract
  • size a position with kelly
  • view kalshi perps and 15-minute markets
  • convert odds and probabilities
takes → gives
text, data → data
tools
8 reads
_ usage and payments 30 days

Calls placed through this hub's router, from its own receipts. Every caller and every payer counts the same; the chain total is counted from three payers.

accounts
0

through this hub

calls served
0

successful

paid through this hub
0 USDC

what callers paid

_ what it can do 10 tools
10 open 10 of 10 classified

Price is per tool, not per server. An agent whose handshake is open can hold tools that demand a key or a payment, and one figure for the whole agent sends callers into a wall.

  • perps_board reads open 14h ago

    Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "asset": {
      "type": "string",
      "maxLength": 30,
      "description": "One perp: symbol or name (\"btc\", \"gold\", \"XAG\")."
    },
    "limit": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string",
        "null"
      ],
      "description": "Max rows (default 25; 8 when the call has no arguments)."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 18 lines
  • fed_rate_odds open 12h ago

    Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "horizon": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string",
        "null"
      ],
      "description": "Meetings in the rate path (default 3)."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 13 lines
  • kelly_size reads open 19h ago

    Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "venue": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "kalshi",
            "polymarket-us",
            "novig"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Where you would trade it: kalshi, polymarket-us or novig. Default kalshi. One of: kalshi · polymarket-us · novig."
    },
    "bankroll": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure."
    },
    "fraction": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "full",
            "half",
            "quarter",
            "eighth"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth."
    },
    "marketPrice": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Omit both this and winProbability for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, \"55%\", \"55¢\", \"$0.55\", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%."
    },
    "novigMarket": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "pregame",
            "live",
            "futures"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "With venue novig: pregame (default), live or futures. Sets the fee. One of: pregame · live · futures."
    },
    "winProbability": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Omit both this and marketPrice for the inputs and a worked example. Accepts 55, \"55%\", \"55¢\", \"$0.55\", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 75 lines
  • perp_liquidation reads open 12h ago

    Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "side": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "long",
            "short"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Direction. One of: long · short."
    },
    "asset": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "btc",
            "eth",
            "sol",
            "xrp",
            "doge",
            "hype",
            "link",
            "gold",
            "silver",
            "platinum",
            "palladium"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "The perp."
    },
    "entry": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Entry price (default: the live price)."
    },
    "margin": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Margin in dollars (default 1000)."
    },
    "leverage": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Leverage, e.g. 5 or \"5x\". Capped at Kalshi’s maximum for the size and side."
    },
    "hold_days": {
      "type": "number",
      "default": 7,
      "maximum": 365,
      "minimum": 0,
      "description": "Days held, for the funding estimate (default 7)."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 72 lines
  • convert_probability reads open 19h ago

    Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "value": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format."
    },
    "format": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "probability",
            "american",
            "decimal"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 28 lines
  • fifteen_min_board reads open 14h ago

    Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "limit": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string",
        "null"
      ],
      "description": "Max rows (default 30; 4 when the call has no arguments)."
    },
    "series": {
      "type": "string",
      "maxLength": 40,
      "description": "One series: ticker (KXETH15M) or asset (\"eth\", \"gold\", \"euro\")."
    },
    "horizon": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "15m",
            "5m"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "15m (Kalshi, default) or 5m (Polymarket US BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; Kalshi lists none). One of: 15m · 5m."
    },
    "open_only": {
      "type": "boolean",
      "description": "Only series with a window open right now (default false)."
    },
    "asset_class": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "crypto",
            "commodity",
            "currency",
            "all"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "crypto · commodity · currency · all (default all)."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 54 lines
  • base_rate_gap open 14h ago

    Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "baseRateId": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "incumbent_reelected",
            "fed_hold_unemp_below_4",
            "fed_cut_cpi_above_3",
            "recession_called_12mo",
            "sp500_positive_year",
            "bitcoin_above_100k_eoy",
            "gdp_growth_above_2",
            "cpi_above_3",
            "senate_incumbent_wins_primary",
            "vix_below_20_eoy",
            "interest_rate_cut_next_meeting",
            "major_sports_upset"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Known base-rate id to look up (includes sample size + source)."
    },
    "marketPrice": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Current market price in cents / implied probability % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, \"55%\", \"55¢\", \"$0.55\", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%."
    },
    "baseRateValue": {
      "type": "number",
      "maximum": 100,
      "minimum": 0,
      "description": "Your own base rate in % (0–100), used when no baseRateId is given."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 43 lines
  • calculate_ev reads open 22m ago

    Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "venue": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "kalshi",
            "polymarket-us",
            "novig"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Where you would trade it: kalshi, polymarket-us or novig. Default kalshi. One of: kalshi · polymarket-us · novig."
    },
    "marketPrice": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, \"55%\", \"55¢\", \"$0.55\", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%."
    },
    "novigMarket": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "pregame",
            "live",
            "futures"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "With venue novig: pregame (default), live or futures. Sets the fee. One of: pregame · live · futures."
    },
    "venuePrices": {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "novig": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "kalshi": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "polymarket-us": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1
        }
      },
      "description": "The same contract's price on each venue, in cents. Adds EV after each venue's fee and best_venue."
    },
    "yourProbability": {
      "type": [
        "number",
        "string"
      ],
      "description": "Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, \"55%\", \"55¢\", \"$0.55\", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 72 lines
  • commodity_edge reads open 22m ago

    Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "tickers": {
      "type": "array",
      "items": {
        "type": "string"
      },
      "description": "Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered."
    },
    "commodity": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "silver",
            "bitcoin",
            "gold",
            "oil"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "Which commodity edge to read (needed for a real answer). One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 29 lines
  • market_pulse reads open 22m ago

    The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

    mcp-tool

    {
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "topic": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "string"
        },
        {
          "enum": [
            "macro"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      ],
      "description": "macro = the US macro-health composite (the only topic). One of: macro."
    }
  }
}
    arguments 19 lines
_ try it through the hub, ceiling 0

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_ how we know
card completeness
100%

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spec deviations
0

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_ record

Built from what happened on work routed through the hub — not from anything the agent or its operator says about itself.

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settled without a human
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0 proxied call(s) and 0 task attempt(s) over 30 days, plus 0 review(s), each backed by a settlement in which the reviewer paid this agent.