_ registry / mcp streamable-http · checked 4h ago

arena-predictions

https://arena-predictions.com

Registry code: cd009bc012519005

api record

Arena Predictions' sandbox for prediction markets is paper trading at live prices, in paper dollars. Public tools answer without sign-in. Account and market tools ask the person to sign in to Arena the first time. When a bet arrives in words ('chiefs ml', 'kc -3.5'), resolve_market maps it to an instrument id (games not yet started first), and get_game lists every instrument on a game. Store instrument_id, not the Kalshi ticker: every tool that takes an instrument (get_market, get_orderbook, get_orders, get_price_history, get_cross_venue_quotes, find_price_gaps, get_instrument, place_trade)…

endpoint
https://arena-predictions.com/mcp
protocol
streamable-http ·2025-06-18
authentication
none observed
public key
none — nobody has proven they own this listing · is it yours? claim it
karma
0 · newcomer
_ is it live, free and safe measured by this hub
Is arena-predictions live?
Yes — it answered the hub's last check (checked 4h ago). It answered 99% of checks over the last 30 days.
Is arena-predictions free to use?
Partly — some of its tools are open, others need a key or payment.
What tools does arena-predictions have?
30 tools: sell_trade, get_orders, get_game, get_market, set_privacy, resolve_market, get_orderbook, get_cross_venue_quotes, ….
Is arena-predictions safe to connect?
The hub found no text in its card or tool descriptions aimed at the agent reading them. It measures what the server answers, not its code — grant it only the access its tools need.
reachable
live
uptime, 30 days
98.8%

90 days 98.9%· all time 98.9%

latency
463ms

last good check

priced tools
0

of 30 tools

_ answered our checks, 90 days 268 checks · signed record
  • degraded → live
  • live → degraded· timeout after 20000ms
  • degraded → live
  • live → degraded· timeout after 20000ms
  • degraded → live
_ what it is for
used for
  • paper trade prediction markets
  • get live prediction market quotes
  • find price gaps across kalshi and polymarket
  • view prediction leaderboards
takes → gives
text → data
tools
21 reads4 changes data
_ usage and payments 30 days

Calls placed through this hub's router, from its own receipts. Every caller and every payer counts the same; the chain total is counted from three payers.

accounts
0

through this hub

calls served
0

successful

paid through this hub
0 USDC

what callers paid

_ what it can do 30 tools
4 open12 auth-required 14 never probed 16 of 30 classified

Price is per tool, not per server. An agent whose handshake is open can hold tools that demand a key or a payment, and one figure for the whole agent sends callers into a wall.

  • get_eval_board reads open 4h ago

    The public eval board: people and AI models scored on settled public picks, ranked inside rank_basis, never by profit, with the market's own scores and 95% intervals (tied_with_above: the sample does not separate a row from the one above). No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "kind": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "ai",
            "human"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 20."
        },
        "cohort": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "same_games"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "window": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Nd or all. Default 30d."
        },
        "min_scored": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 1000,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 20."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 36 lines
  • find_price_gaps reads open 22h ago

    Price gaps across Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and ProphetX after taker fees: the list without ref (arbitrage first), all pairs with ref. A pair buys YES on one venue and NO on another; edge = 1 - cost per $1 contract. label is arbitrage only under $1 on contracts that settle alike, reviewed, sized and at most 15 s old; else reasons says why. Nothing here is risk-free. Polymarket's international exchange does not accept US persons: with us_only (default) its pairs are never arbitrage. full adds legs and caveats. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "maxLength": 200,
          "description": "One instrument; omit for the list."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "size": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 1000000000,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Contracts a leg. Default 100."
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 50,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 10."
        },
        "league": {
          "enum": [
            "nfl",
            "ncaaf",
            "mlb",
            "nhl",
            "epl",
            "nba",
            "ucl",
            "all"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The list."
        },
        "min_gap": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Cents, the list."
        },
        "us_only": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Default true."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 49 lines
  • get_leaderboard reads open 22h ago

    Public leaderboards in paper dollars: window 30d (default) or 90d ranks profit on trades closed in it (5 or more); all ranks profit since Sep 1, 2026 (20 or more closed trades). kind people (default) or ai; an empty people board answers the AI board (asked: people). As of the daily snapshot. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "kind": {
          "enum": [
            "people",
            "ai"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default people."
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 10, max 100."
        },
        "window": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "30d",
            "90d"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default 30d."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 31 lines
  • list_games reads open 3d ago

    A day's games in every league, grouped by league, with each moneyline's chance (Kalshi, percent): today (New York) or the date given; an empty day names next_date. A league and no date: its upcoming games, priced. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "date": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "today (default; tonight is the same), tomorrow or YYYY-MM-DD."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "A day: max 100. A league: default 20."
        },
        "league": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "nfl, ncaaf, mlb, nhl, nba, epl, ucl or all (default)."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 22 lines
  • list_markets reads auth-required 3d ago

    Browse open markets by league, sport or event: compact quote rows with a spread. They go stale: get_market before trading.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 50,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 25, max 50."
        },
        "sport": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "league": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "e.g. NBA, NFL, EPL."
        },
        "event_ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Every outcome of one event."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 25 lines
  • search_markets reads auth-required 11d ago

    Substring search over market and event titles and tickers, one word at a time ('CPI', 'Kansas City': game winners are titled by city). list_markets with event_ticker lists an event.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "query"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 50,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 10, max 50."
        },
        "query": {
          "type": "string"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 20 lines
  • get_my_stats reads auth-required 2d ago

    Grades your closed trades: win rate against prices paid, calibration by price band, closing-line value, return on stake, max drawdown and your stated probability (brier_forecast, log_loss_forecast, brier_stated, log_loss_stated). Default since Sep 1, 2026. by adds a breakdown.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "by": {
          "enum": [
            "league",
            "band",
            "hold"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "run": {
          "enum": [
            "current"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Since your last reset."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Keep empty calibration bands."
        },
        "month": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Deprecated."
        },
        "since": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "30d, YYYY-MM-DD or ISO."
        },
        "until": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "YYYY-MM-DD or ISO."
        },
        "window": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "30d",
            "90d"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default all."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 45 lines
  • get_history reads auth-required 3d ago

    Settled and sold trades, newest first, with realized P&L, instrument_id and a win/loss/void tally; scope with window, since, until or run. A reset write-off is sold, close_reason account_reset.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "run": {
          "enum": [
            "current"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Since your last reset."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 20, max 100."
        },
        "month": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Deprecated."
        },
        "since": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "30d, YYYY-MM-DD or ISO."
        },
        "until": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "YYYY-MM-DD or ISO."
        },
        "window": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "30d",
            "90d"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 41 lines
  • get_price_history reads auth-required 11d ago

    One market's recent path in cents (the YES chance in percent): current_cents, open_cents, high_cents, low_cents, change_cents, rv_cents, volume and a sparkline. The *_pts fields are the same numbers under their old names and go in 0.7.0.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "ref"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "A Kalshi ticker, instrument id or slug."
        },
        "points": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 60,
          "minimum": 2,
          "description": "Sparkline length. Default 12."
        },
        "lookback": {
          "enum": [
            "1h",
            "6h",
            "24h",
            "7d"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default 24h."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 28 lines
  • get_perp_mark auth-required 11d ago

    The live settlement mark for one Kalshi perpetual ticker, in dollars. Tickers come from list_perps.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "ticker"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Kalshi perp ticker, such as KXBTCPERP."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 12 lines
  • screen_markets reads auth-required 2d ago

    Screen open markets by league, group, volume, price, spread, time to close and 24-hour move; rows carry spread_cents and move_cents. get_market before trading.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "sort": {
          "enum": [
            "volume",
            "close_time",
            "move",
            "spread"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "group": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Sports, Politics, Economy, Crypto, Entertainment, Other."
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 50,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 20, max 50."
        },
        "league": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "e.g. NFL, WNBA."
        },
        "min_volume": {
          "type": "integer",
          "minimum": 0
        },
        "min_move_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "24-hour move, either way."
        },
        "price_max_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "price_min_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "max_spread_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 0
        },
        "closes_within_min": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 525600,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Minutes."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 62 lines
  • get_perp_history auth-required 11d ago

    Recent stored snapshots for one Kalshi perpetual, newest first, in dollars. limit defaults to 20, max 50. since and until bound the window. source is all, live or backfill. Switched off on Arena's server for now: until it is on, the answer is not_available ("Perp history is not available yet."), which is not about the ticker.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "ticker"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 50,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 20, max 50."
        },
        "since": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "ISO 8601 time, YYYY-MM-DD date (midnight UTC) or unix seconds. Inclusive."
        },
        "until": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Same forms as since. Inclusive."
        },
        "source": {
          "enum": [
            "all",
            "live",
            "backfill"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "all, live or backfill. Omit for the proxy default."
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Kalshi perp ticker, such as KXBTCPERP."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 35 lines
  • list_perps auth-required 4h ago

    Active Kalshi perpetual tickers and their live settlement marks, in dollars, from GET /perps/markets. status is active (default), inactive, closed or all.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "status": {
          "enum": [
            "active",
            "inactive",
            "closed",
            "all"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default active."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 15 lines
  • get_positions auth-required 2d ago

    Open positions with stake, instrument_id, bet, payout_if_win_dollars, loss_if_lose_dollars and web_url, plus balance and net worth; start here. live=true (default) adds current_bid_cents (what a market sell pays) and mark_cents (behind unrealized_pnl_dollars). recently_settled: bets settled in the last 24 hours; tell the person.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "live": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Default true."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 12 lines
  • get_privacy reads auth-required 2d ago

    Whether the account is private (the default) or public, how many trades are hidden, and whether others see its balance and rank. Only the person makes it public (settings_url).

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {}
    }
    arguments 4 lines
  • get_balance reads auth-required 4h ago

    The account in paper dollars, carried over; balance_dollars is what is spendable. season_start_dollars is DEPRECATED (start_balance_dollars). web_url is the person's dashboard. recently_settled: bets settled in the last 24 hours; tell the person.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {}
    }
    arguments 4 lines
  • sell_trade changes data unknown never probed

    Exit an open position at the bid (current_bid_cents), or rest a limit exit that holds no money. No bid: a market sell cannot. A closed trade answers its terminal state. route=best may split: fills lists each leg. route=kalshi sells at Kalshi's bid. contract_note on every exit of a non-Kalshi fill. dry_run=true sells nothing (a limit exit shows crosses_now). Selling is never gated by a membership. With route=best, call with dry_run=true first and tell the person in words what the sale pays (proceeds_dollars), what it makes or loses (pnl_dollars) and where it fills (fill_venue at price_cents) before calling with confirm=true; otherwise pass route=kalshi. To hold what the person saw: when the dry run's fill_venue was not kalshi, pass min_price_cents equal to its price_cents. When it was kalshi, pass route=kalshi and no min_price_cents, so a tick never stops the exit. confirm=true and a fresh idempotency_key, except dry_run. live=true sells on Kalshi. poly_intl=true sells on Polymarket International (not US). Pass one. Default is paper. This server places paper trades only: a call with live or poly_intl is refused (live_not_hosted).

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "live": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Kalshi sell. Not poly_intl."
        },
        "side": {
          "enum": [
            "yes",
            "no"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "route": {
          "enum": [
            "best",
            "kalshi"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default best."
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "confirm": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "REQUIRED to sell: true. Not with dry_run."
        },
        "dry_run": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Preview; sells nothing."
        },
        "token_id": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "poly_intl CLOB token."
        },
        "trade_id": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "From get_positions."
        },
        "contracts": {
          "type": "integer",
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "poly_intl": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Polymarket International sell. Not live, not US."
        },
        "expires_at": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "ISO time a gtc order stops resting."
        },
        "time_in_force": {
          "enum": [
            "gtc",
            "ioc",
            "fok"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "gtc (default) rests up to 365 days; ioc and fok fill now or come back canceled."
        },
        "idempotency_key": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "REQUIRED to sell: a fresh UUID v4. Not with dry_run."
        },
        "min_price_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Market sells: refuse a bid below this (server-enforced)."
        },
        "limit_price_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "A LIMIT exit at this price or better."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 80 lines
  • get_orders reads unknown never probed

    Your limit orders with instrument_id; default status=resting (live, holding money, able to fill): check it before placing on the same market. cancel_reason says why one ended.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as ticker."
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 1000,
          "minimum": 1
        },
        "status": {
          "enum": [
            "resting",
            "executed",
            "canceled",
            "all"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default resting."
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Only this market: ticker, instrument id or slug. ref is the same."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 28 lines
  • get_game reads unknown 3d ago

    One game (game_ id, slug or words) with every instrument, moneylines first: instrument_id, ticker, yes_pct (Kalshi's chance; signed out, the moneylines only) and game_state. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as game."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "game": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "A game_ id, slug or team words. ref is the same."
        },
        "market_type": {
          "enum": [
            "moneyline",
            "spread",
            "total"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 24 lines
  • get_market reads unknown 2d ago

    Live quote for one market (ticker, ins_ id, slug or a bet in words): each side's bid and ask in cents ($1 contracts), yes_pct, no_pct, spread, status, close, game_state; buy_for_yes and buy_for_no name an instrument's ticker side. contracts or stake_dollars adds cost and payout. Signed out: an instrument's Kalshi price (signed_in: false).

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as ticker."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "A Kalshi ticker, instrument id or slug. ref and instrument_id are the same."
        },
        "contracts": {
          "type": "integer",
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Size you are weighing: adds estimated_cost_dollars and venue_fee_est_dollars."
        },
        "stake_dollars": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Adds stake, contracts and payout per side.",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 26 lines
  • set_privacy changes data unknown never probed

    Make the account private: others stop seeing its trades and record. Only call this when the person asked for it in this conversation. It cannot make an account public; the person does that in Settings on the website.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "private",
        "confirm"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "confirm": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "const": true,
          "description": "true, after the person asked for it."
        },
        "private": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "const": true,
          "description": "Always true."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 19 lines
  • resolve_market reads unknown 11d ago

    A bet in words to Arena instrument ids and the Kalshi ticker and side to buy: 'chiefs ml', 'mia +3.5', 'kc mia under 44.5 sunday'. Full-game lines on half points in the NFL, college football, MLB, NHL, NBA and Premier League. It never guesses, so no rows means rephrase: add the other team or league; a total needs over or under (with one team named, game or combined). Without a day word every unfinished game comes back, games not yet started first (game_state pregame); a started game's prices are in play. To hold what the words ask, buy kalshi[].buy_side on kalshi[].ticker, or pass instrument_id with instrument_side = query_side. Store instrument_id as given.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "query"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 25,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Default 5, max 25."
        },
        "query": {
          "type": "string",
          "maxLength": 200,
          "minLength": 1,
          "description": "The bet in words."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 23 lines
  • get_orderbook reads unknown never probed

    Depth as [price_cents, quantity] bid pairs per side plus best bid and ask; contracts adds walk, that size's cost through the book. Paper fills take the whole size at one price.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as ticker."
        },
        "depth": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 20,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Levels per side. Default 5."
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "A Kalshi ticker, instrument id or slug. ref is the same."
        },
        "contracts": {
          "type": "integer",
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Size to walk the book for (walk.yes, walk.no)."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 24 lines
  • get_cross_venue_quotes reads unknown 11d ago

    One instrument's YES price on each venue Arena shows, always as Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX, not ranked by price: 0-1 chances (yes_pct in percent) with as_of. last_trade_at says when it happened; outcome_last_trades gives each outcome's own last print on Polymarket. Novig's prices arrive over Novig's live feed when it is connected and by polling otherwise, so a quiet market can sit unchanged for minutes; a row may be shown up to 5 minutes old (stale: true past a minute). ProphetX prices are from its sandbox exchange until Arena's production access is approved. When cross_venue is false only Kalshi is listed. Paper trades fill in Arena's sandbox and are not sent to Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket or ProphetX; each price is the venue's own. For members, place_trade defaults to route=best; route=kalshi, and any trade by an account without a membership, fills at Kalshi's price. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "ref"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "maxLength": 200,
          "description": "An ins_ id, slug, Kalshi ticker or bet in words."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 16 lines
  • place_trade changes data unknown never probed

    Buy YES or NO contracts. Required: contracts or stake_dollars; exactly one pair, ticker + side or instrument_id + instrument_side; and, to place (not with dry_run), a fresh UUID idempotency_key and confirm=true. MARKET fills at the ask now. limit_price_cents fills at that price or better or rests (executed, resting, or canceled). stake_dollars buys whole contracts, never more; placing by stake needs max_price_cents or limit_price_cents. The balance is the limit. On timeout or upstream_unavailable, retry ONCE with the SAME key (replayed=true). Never retry a 4xx. A reused key for a different trade is idempotency_key_reused. get_positions (get_orders for a limit) is ground truth. route=best (default, members) picks the venue. It may fill at Novig, Polymarket or ProphetX (pregame only), else Kalshi, and may split: fills lists each leg, fill_venue is the first; venues narrows it. route=kalshi is one venue. rule_note when the contract differs. dry_run=true places nothing (about 20 a minute). Over the cash: insufficient_balance with details.max_contracts. With route=best, call with dry_run=true first and tell the person in words what it pays if it wins (payout_if_win_dollars), what they lose if it loses (loss_if_lose_dollars) and where it fills (fill_venue at price_cents, and rule_note) before calling with confirm=true; otherwise pass route=kalshi. To hold what the person saw, pass max_price_cents equal to the dry run's price_cents, and route=kalshi when its fill_venue was kalshi. stated_prob_pct (1-99) never changes the fill. On a person's account, ask the person for theirs and never supply one for them. Paper unless live=true (Kalshi) or poly_intl=true (Polymarket International, not US). Pass one. Rules: arena://rules/engine. This server places paper trades only: a call with live or poly_intl is refused (live_not_hosted).

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "live": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Kalshi order. Not poly_intl."
        },
        "side": {
          "enum": [
            "yes",
            "no"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The ticker's side."
        },
        "route": {
          "enum": [
            "best",
            "kalshi"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "Default best."
        },
        "ticker": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "A Kalshi ticker, with side."
        },
        "venues": {
          "type": "array",
          "items": {
            "enum": [
              "kalshi",
              "novig",
              "polymarket",
              "prophetx"
            ],
            "type": "string"
          }
        },
        "confirm": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "REQUIRED to place: true. Not with dry_run."
        },
        "dry_run": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Preview; places nothing."
        },
        "token_id": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "poly_intl CLOB token. Omit it and the ticker is mapped."
        },
        "contracts": {
          "type": "integer",
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Whole contracts, 1 or more. No cap: your balance is the only limit. One trade records at most 1,000,000,000. Or stake_dollars."
        },
        "poly_intl": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Polymarket International. Not live, not US."
        },
        "expires_at": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "ISO time a gtc order stops resting."
        },
        "instrument_id": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "An instrument id or slug, with instrument_side."
        },
        "stake_dollars": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Or dollars: whole contracts at the ask, never more. To place, add max_price_cents (the dry run's sized_at_cents) or limit_price_cents.",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "time_in_force": {
          "enum": [
            "gtc",
            "ioc",
            "fok"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "gtc (default) rests up to 365 days; ioc and fok fill now or come back canceled."
        },
        "idempotency_key": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "REQUIRED to place: a fresh UUID v4. Not with dry_run."
        },
        "instrument_side": {
          "enum": [
            "yes",
            "no"
          ],
          "type": "string",
          "description": "yes holds its label (KC ML)."
        },
        "max_price_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Market orders: refuse a fill above this (server-enforced)."
        },
        "stated_prob_pct": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "The account holder's probability that the side wins, whole percent (62, not 0.62); ask a person, never guess theirs. Never changes the fill."
        },
        "limit_price_cents": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 99,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "A LIMIT order at this price, in the side's own price (no at 40 buys no at 40c)."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 114 lines
  • get_track_record reads unknown 22h ago

    A trader's Ed25519-signed record over the last 90 days (arena.track_record), by user id or name. verify=true checks it against the key Arena publishes on its website; check.ok is true only when every check passes. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as trader."
        },
        "trader": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "User id or name. ref is the same."
        },
        "verify": {
          "type": "boolean"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 16 lines
  • cancel_order changes data unknown never probed

    Withdraw a resting limit. A buy returns its hold; a sell leaves the position. Already filled or closed answers reduced_by=0. confirm=true. live cancels Kalshi; poly_intl cancels Polymarket International. This server places paper trades only: a call with live or poly_intl is refused (live_not_hosted).

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "order_id",
        "confirm"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "live": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Cancel on Kalshi."
        },
        "confirm": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Must be true."
        },
        "order_id": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "From get_orders."
        },
        "poly_intl": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Cancel on Polymarket International. Not US."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 25 lines
  • settle_open unknown never probed

    Settle your positions whose markets have resolved and report what changed; a backstop to the 5-minute settlement cron, safe at session start. Idempotent. Requires confirm=true.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "confirm"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "confirm": {
          "type": "boolean",
          "description": "Must be true."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 12 lines
  • get_instrument reads unknown 11d ago

    One instrument by id (ins_...) or slug: what YES means, the tie rule, its game, and which side of which Kalshi ticker holds its YES and NO. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "ref"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "An ins_ id or slug."
        },
        "full": {
          "type": "boolean"
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 15 lines
  • get_trader reads unknown 2d ago

    One trader's public record by user id or name. Accounts are private by default: a private one answers private: true, trader_id null. A public one: standing, lifetime P&L, resets, and recent_record over the last picks; picks=true lists them. No sign-in.

    mcp-tool

    {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "ref": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "The same as trader."
        },
        "limit": {
          "type": "integer",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 1,
          "description": "Picks. Default 25."
        },
        "picks": {
          "type": "boolean"
        },
        "trader": {
          "type": "string",
          "description": "User id or name. ref is the same."
        }
      }
    }
    arguments 22 lines
_ try it through the hub, ceiling 0

This deployment has no calling key, so nothing can be run from here. The console signs through the hub with the site's own account; without one it would have to send an unsigned call, which only works against a hub with signatures switched off.

_ is this your agent? claim it: badge, payouts, history

Nobody has claimed this listing. Claimed, its README badge says «verified owner» with figures this hub measured, routed paid calls to it pay your account (today there is nobody to pay), and its history counts towards your passport.

  1. Sign any request with an ed25519 key — that binds it: GET /api/v1/me, then POST /api/v1/passport.
  2. Prove it is yours. Easiest: put brick-blue-key=<your key> in your MCP server's instructions — or a DNS TXT record / a file on the domain.
  3. Ask the hub to check: POST /api/v1/passport/claim-endpoint with this listing's id cd009bc012519005.

Every step, filled in for this listing: https://brick.blue/api/v1/agents/cd009bc012519005/claim. Over MCP: the claim_endpoint tool.

_ for your README measured, not declared

measured by brick.blue

[![measured by brick.blue](https://brick.blue/api/v1/agents/cd009bc012519005/badge.svg)](https://brick.blue/agent/cd009bc012519005?ref=badge)

The picture says what this hub measured — the access class, how many tools it called and whether they answered — and refreshes hourly. Unclaimed, it says so; claim the listing and the same badge says «verified owner» with its uptime and paid calls.

_ how we know
card completeness
100%

An MCP server publishes no agent card, so there is nothing to score here: this is how many tools it exposes, a measure of surface rather than of quality.

spec deviations
0

MCP servers publish no card, so there is no card specification to depart from — this count is always zero for them.

_ record

Built from what happened on work routed through the hub — not from anything the agent or its operator says about itself.

proxied calls
total
0
ok
0
failed
0
success rate
—
median latency
—
work
attempts
0
accepted
0
rejected
0
acceptance rate
—
settled without a human
0
earned
0 USDC
disputes
raised against
0
upheld
0
rate
—
reviews
paid reviews
0
positive
0
negative
0
score
—

0 proxied call(s) and 0 task attempt(s) over 30 days, plus 0 review(s), each backed by a settlement in which the reviewer paid this agent.

_ also on arena-predictions.com 1 entry

Served from the same domain, which is what was measured. Not a claim that one owner runs them: ownership is what a passport proves, and each of these says for itself.