nerai-risk-intelligence
https://nerai-mcp.neraicorp.workers.dev
Registry code: f014ee8c5ff35ae5
NERAI risk-intelligence data: 2,400 daily risk series (60 countries x 40 topics) with regime states and calibrated shock forecasts (OOS calibration error ~1%), a Granger causal network, platform-wide early warning, cross-country comparison, maritime & circumvention corridors, supply-chain and open-source commodity layers (EIA, World Bank), the Forecast Desk, and official trade-control change tracking. Percentiles rank each series against its own history — 90+ means historically elevated. Data is not legal or investment advice.
- endpoint
- https://nerai-mcp.neraicorp.workers.dev/mcp
- protocol
- streamable-http ·2025-06-18
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- none observed
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- none — nobody has proven they own this listing · is it yours? claim it
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- Is nerai-risk-intelligence live?
- Yes — it answered the hub's last check (checked 1h ago). It answered 100% of checks over the last 30 days.
- Is nerai-risk-intelligence free to use?
- Not anonymously — it asks for a key or a login before it will serve. Whether that key costs anything is the operator's plan to say: the hub measured the door, not the pricing.
- What tools does nerai-risk-intelligence have?
- 16 tools: find_enforcement_precedent, compare_countries, list_countries, get_circumvention_corridors, get_commodities, get_country_risk, get_causal_drivers, get_early_warning, ….
- Is nerai-risk-intelligence safe to connect?
- The hub found no text in its card or tool descriptions aimed at the agent reading them. It measures what the server answers, not its code — grant it only the access its tools need.
90 days 100%· all time 100%
last good check
of 16 tools
- unknown → live
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find_enforcement_precedent auth-required 1h ago
Published enforcement actions (ECJU compound settlements, OFSI penalties, BIS denial orders, OFAC civil penalties) that share features with a described shipment. A case qualifies only if it shares the commodity or the behaviour AND the destination or route — shared geography alone is not a precedent. Returns the shared features and a link to the authority's own published action. The score counts shared features; it is not a probability.
{ "type": "object", "properties": { "transit": { "type": "string" }, "red_flag": { "type": "string", "description": "e.g. third-country routing, concealment / false documents." }, "destination": { "type": "string" }, "product_family": { "type": "string", "description": "e.g. Semiconductors & electronics, Aviation & aerospace, Dual-use & military." }, "include_unreviewed": { "type": "boolean", "description": "Include auto-extracted cases. Default false: unreviewed cases must not be quoted to a client." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 24 linescompare_countries auth-required never probed
Rank countries on a given risk topic by current percentile, with the 90-day change and regime state. Use for portfolio or footprint screening (e.g. 'rank protest risk across our markets').
{ "type": "object", "required": [ "topic" ], "properties": { "limit": { "type": "number", "description": "Max rows (default 15)." }, "topic": { "type": "string", "description": "Risk topic, e.g. protest, military_clash, political_instability, terrorism." }, "countries": { "type": "array", "items": { "type": "string" }, "description": "Optional subset of codes/names; omit to rank all 60." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 24 lineslist_countries auth-required never probed
List the 60 countries covered by NERAI's daily risk indices (code + name), plus platform metadata (as-of dates, calibration).
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_circumvention_corridors auth-required 1h ago
NERAI CHPL circumvention-corridor intensity scores (0-100, ordinal) for Russia-bound diversion routes of controlled microelectronics, with goods and watch items.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_commodities auth-required 1h ago
Benchmark commodity prices from licensed open sources: U.S. EIA daily spot (Brent, WTI, Henry Hub; public domain) with 7- and 30-day changes, and World Bank Pink Sheet monthly averages (European gas, wheat, maize, urea; CC BY 4.0) with the month-on-month change. Each row carries its source and frequency.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_country_risk auth-required never probed
Full NERAI risk read for one country: HMM regime state (Calm/Tension/Crisis with escalation probability and persistence), resilience score, and risk topics as percentiles of the 30-day average vs each series' own history (now / 90d ago / delta), with calibrated shock probabilities at 4/9/13/26-week horizons. Returns the 8 most elevated topics by default; set all_topics=true for all 40, or pass topic to filter.
{ "type": "object", "required": [ "country" ], "properties": { "topic": { "type": "string", "description": "Filter to topics matching this text (e.g. 'protest', 'military')." }, "country": { "type": "string", "description": "Country code (e.g. NI, IR, TU) or name (e.g. Nigeria)." }, "all_topics": { "type": "boolean", "description": "Return all 40 risk topics instead of the top 8." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 21 linesget_causal_drivers auth-required never probed
NERAI's causal network for a country: Granger-significant lead-lag relationships (p<0.01) showing which risk signals lead which others, with the lag in days and F-statistic. Use to explain WHY a risk is building, not just that it is.
{ "type": "object", "required": [ "country" ], "properties": { "country": { "type": "string", "description": "Country code or name." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 13 linesget_early_warning auth-required never probed
Platform-wide early warning: the series with the highest calibrated shock probabilities right now, and the biggest 90-day percentile movers (risers and fallers) across all 60 countries. The fastest way to ask 'what should I be watching?'
{ "type": "object", "properties": { "limit": { "type": "number", "description": "Max rows per list (default 15, max 40)." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 10 linesget_supply_chain_risk auth-required never probed
Global supply-chain picture: NY Fed GSCPI (with its required notice), country disruption readings and NERAI's supply-disruption forecast board. Chokepoint transit series are not included in this edition (chokepoint_transits is null).
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_sanctions_overview auth-required never probed
The sanctions picture in one call: restricted-party register counts by list and type, the Russia shadow-fleet enforcement index, Russia economic-impact measures and recent enforcement actions.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_live_chokepoint_traffic auth-required never probed
Chokepoint vessel picture from licensed sources. Live AIS vessel counts are NOT available in this edition (available=false, counts null). Where published, the Strait of Hormuz carries Copernicus Sentinel-1 radar vessel presence (30-day rolling, % vs the 2025 same-orbit baseline): vessels present in radar scenes, not transits.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_maritime_corridors auth-required never probed
Risk state of the 8 monitored maritime corridors (Hormuz, Suez, Red Sea/Bab-el-Mandeb, Black Sea, Malacca, Taiwan Strait, E. Mediterranean, South China Sea): GDELT-based threat/activity scores, phase, news and sanctions intensity, NERAI read. Transit and cost-pressure fields are kept for compatibility but are null in this edition.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_forecast_desk auth-required never probed
NERAI's open calibrated forecasts (binary questions with probabilities and horizons) across sanctions, geopolitical risk, chokepoints, maritime, supply-chain and conflict. Every open question is re-scored every 2 days, so each one carries its probability history, the change since it was filed and since the last review, and the reason the latest review gave. Set include_archive to also return closed questions (resolved, past-horizon and retired) with their full trajectories.
{ "type": "object", "properties": { "category": { "type": "string", "description": "Optional filter: sanctions, geopolitical-risk, chokepoints, maritime, supply-chain, military-conflict or modern-mercantilism." }, "movers_only": { "type": "boolean", "description": "Only forecasts repriced by 2pp or more at the latest review." }, "include_archive": { "type": "boolean", "description": "Also return closed forecasts (resolved / past horizon / retired)." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 18 linescheck_commodity_controls auth-required never probed
Look up an HS code against the Common High Priority List — the goods the US, EU, UK and Japan jointly identify as most frequently diverted. Requires a six-digit code: a four-digit heading returns the CHPL subheadings it contains and asks for HS6, because the goods within one heading differ materially and NERAI does not infer a classification it was not given.
{ "type": "object", "required": [ "hs_code" ], "properties": { "hs_code": { "type": "string", "description": "HS code, ideally six digits (e.g. 854233)." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 13 linesget_transaction_intelligence_status auth-required never probed
What NERAI's transaction layer currently covers: register size and per-source health, enforcement corpus size by authority, CHPL vintage, and which checks require the platform rather than this connector. Use it to know what a full assessment would add.
{ "type": "object", "properties": {}, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 5 linesget_tradecontrol_changes auth-required never probed
Latest official trade-control / sanctions changes from the NERAI TradeControl Action Desk: UK Sanctions List & US CSL diffs and CELEX-anchored EU Official Journal acts, each with legal instrument and source link.
{ "type": "object", "properties": { "limit": { "type": "number", "description": "Max records (default 10, max 25)." }, "jurisdiction": { "type": "string", "description": "Optional filter: UK, US or EU." } }, "additionalProperties": false }arguments 14 lines
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